Washington Post
Polygraphs: Worse Than Worthless
By Alan P. Zelicoff
Tuesday, May 27, 2003; Page A19
In 1999, in the midst of alleged leaks of nuclear
weapons information from his department's national
laboratories, the secretary of energy, Bill Richardson,
set out to show that he could be "tough" on national
security matters. He sought congressional funding for a
wide-ranging polygraph program to cover all employees
with high-level clearances -- about 15,000 people in
all.
Congress agreed -- despite the absence of any
evidence that polygraphs have ever detected a spy
operating anywhere in the U.S. government. But Sen. Jeff
Bingaman (D-N.M.) managed to get the Senate to stipulate
two important conditions -- first, that the National
Academy of Sciences (NAS) review the medical and
scientific literature to determine whether use of
polygraph tests for screening was in any way worthwhile
and, second, that the secretary report back to Congress
after the NAS report was completed.
Late last year the NAS published its findings. It
determined that the polygraph was not a worthless tool
-- indeed, that it was much worse than worthless. The
report said that "available evidence indicates that
polygraph testing as currently used has extremely
serious limitations . . . if the intent is both to
identify security risks and protect valued employees."
The NAS panel, made up of internationally respected
psychologists and statisticians, further determined that
the test was so nonspecific that even if the
polygraphers managed to finally uncover their first spy,
at least 100 innocent laboratory employees would have
their clearances yanked because of the "false positives"
inherent in the test. The NAS concluded: "Polygraph
testing yields an unacceptable choice . . . between too
many loyal employees falsely judged deceptive and too
many major security threats left undetected. Its
accuracy . . . is insufficient to justify reliance on
its use in employee security screening in federal
agencies." It doesn't get much clearer than that.
Spencer Abraham, the current energy secretary, was
faced with a dilemma: If he did the right thing by
openly recommending that Congress trash his
predecessor's polygraph program, he would embarrass his
counterparts in the CIA and the Defense Department,
where faith in the polygraph long ago reached cult
status. If he kept the polygraphs, he would do so in the
face of the academy's clear rejection and more than 60
years of evidence that they waste taxpayers' money while
destroying the careers and lives of countless loyal
Americans.
Abraham opted instead for a third course. In a memo
to the national laboratory directors in late March, the
secretary said he had decided to "defer" his decision on
polygraphs until "after hostilities in Iraq had ended."
That wasn't quite true. Just two weeks later, an
official Energy Department "proposed rule" appeared in
the Federal Register, in which the secretary gave it as
his opinion that "DOE [the Energy Department] does not
believe that the issues that the NAS has raised about
the polygraph's accuracy are sufficient to warrant a
decision by DOE to abandon it as a screening tool. Doing
so would mean that DOE would be giving up a tool that,
while far from perfect, will help identify some
individuals who should not be given access to classified
data, materials, or information."
There is supposedly an opportunity for the public to
comment on the Energy Department's proposal to do
nothing. But there is little reason to believe the
department has any intention of listening, given its
willingness to dismiss all credible science on the issue
without any explanation.
The aftermath of this episode of bureaucratic
bungling is even worse. Since the secretary displayed
his studied ignorance, the department has been faced
with yet another polygraph embarrassment: William
Cleveland Jr., head of counterintelligence at the
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (and a retired
FBI agent), stands accused of a reckless tryst with
Katrina Leung, recently indicted as a Chinese double
agent. During that time, the FBI paid her $1.7 million
to spy on Beijing.
Cleveland asserts that he warned another FBI
counterintelligence agent and Leung's handler, James J.
Smith, about her. Smith, it turns out, was having an
affair with Leung at the same time. Cleveland passed his
DOE polygraph, even though during his examinations he
was asked if he had "unauthorized contact with
representatives of a foreign government." Smith has been
arrested, but the damage is done: Leung copied their
secret documents, probably sending them on to her
friends in the Ministry of State Security in China. So
much for "identifying some individuals who should not be
given access to classified data, materials, or
information."
Unfortunately, there is nothing new here. Two years
ago I wrote a piece in the science magazine Skeptical
Inquirer recounting the multiple failures and ignoble
history of the polygraph, and the mindless faith
invested in it by presidents, CIA and FBI directors,
police departments and other people who ought to know
better. Shortly thereafter a letter to the editor
arrived, stating: "In my experience with the polygraph,
as user and subject, its junk science does provide an
important but discreditable service for lazy and timid
national security managers (also known as a species of
bureaucrat). There's a lot at stake for the bureaucrat.
Faced with the prospect of excruciating hard work,
considerable expense and agonizingly difficult choices,
the [polygraph] offers an attractive refuge from
responsibility. Like handing fate to the stars . . .
bureaucrats can abandon their duties and
responsibilities to junk scientists and interrogators
masquerading as technicians."
The correspondent, writing from prison, was Aldrich
Ames, perhaps the most damaging spy in all of U.S.
history. Over Ames's 30-year career -- the last decade
of which was spent as a mole within the CIA ratting on
his own agents -- more than a dozen U.S. intelligence
operatives in Moscow and elsewhere perished, while Mr.
Ames netted a cool $3 million, courtesy of the KGB.
Meanwhile, he passed his CIA polygraph every five
years.
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